Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Azorius Omniscience | dazai | 9-1 | 2nd in MTGO Standard Challenge 64 #12769053 |
| Jeskai Control | scipios | 8-1 | None |
| Jeskai Control | spyromancer | 7-1 | None |
| Jeskai Control | kinghairy | 6-2 | None |
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Azorius Control , Azorius Omniscience , Azorius Synthesizer , Dimir Bounce , Dimir Control , Dimir Demons , Dimir Midrange , Domain Zur Overlords , Esper Pixie , Grixis Dragons
Meta Performance Analysis
Change the Equation ranks #206 out of approximately 406 cards in raw efficiency (top 51%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Blue average: 72.0%
Performance compared to other Blue cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Change the Equation is an underperforming card in the current meta.
Recommended number of copies: 1
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 14.51 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 2 mana, the average win rate in the format is 74.7%. Change the Equation has a win rate of 70.0%, making it 6.3% worse than other 2-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soul-Guide Lantern | Artifact | 22 | 69.8% | 9 |
| Kaito, Bane of Nightmares | Legendary Planeswalker — Kaito | 5 | 67.2% | 0 |
| Gix's Command | Sorcery | 5 | 67.2% | 0 |
| Spyglass Siren | Creature — Siren Pirate | 5 | 67.2% | 0 |
| Enduring Curiosity | Enchantment Creature — Cat Glimmer | 6 | 66.0% | 0 |
| Blot Out | Instant | 27 | 64.0% | 7 |
| Spell Pierce | Instant | 7 | 63.8% | 2 |
| Shoot the Sheriff | Instant | 14 | 60.5% | 4 |
| Preacher of the Schism | Creature — Vampire Cleric | 30 | 58.9% | 7 |
| Dreams of Steel and Oil | Sorcery | 22 | 58.7% | 4 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Change the Equation than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roiling Dragonstorm | Enchantment | 2 | 17 | 74.5% | 71.2% | +3.3% |
| Invasion of Arcavios | Battle — Siege // Enchantment | 5 | 16 | 75.0% | 72.3% | +2.7% |
| Pyroclasm | Sorcery | 2 | 5 | 76.5% | 73.8% | +2.7% |
| Kutzil's Flanker | Creature — Cat Warrior | 3 | 11 | 76.3% | 73.8% | +2.5% |
| Devout Decree | Sorcery | 2 | 15 | 76.6% | 74.5% | +2.1% |
| Jeskai Revelation | Instant | 7 | 21 | 74.6% | 72.5% | +2.1% |
| Moment of Truth | Instant | 2 | 17 | 73.3% | 71.4% | +1.9% |
| Confounding Riddle | Instant | 3 | 17 | 73.3% | 71.6% | +1.7% |
| Abuelo's Awakening | Sorcery | 4 | 17 | 73.3% | 71.9% | +1.5% |
| Omniscience | Enchantment | 10 | 17 | 73.3% | 71.9% | +1.5% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Azorius Control | 134 | 35.3% | 49.1% |
| Dimir Control | 36 | 49.3% | 56.2% |
| Azorius Omniscience | 17 | 4.8% | 74.3% |
| Dimir Midrange | 15 | 0.7% | 46.1% |
| Jeskai Control | 13 | 27.1% | 67.8% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.